Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.266838 0.308800 0.356571 0.415269 0.485837 0.568429 0.673118
2025-10-12 0.205557 0.260387 0.330017 0.426217 0.557721 0.734224 0.994306
2025-10-19 0.169634 0.229074 0.310728 0.433813 0.619532 0.897614 1.362232
2025-10-26 0.147551 0.209563 0.300271 0.447122 0.687915 1.084377 1.826238
2025-11-02 0.129403 0.191419 0.286894 0.450927 0.739625 1.256115 2.326823
2025-11-09 0.114777 0.175717 0.273714 0.450977 0.783109 1.423679 2.884852
2025-11-16 0.102464 0.161565 0.260262 0.447060 0.817221 1.581909 3.490389
2025-11-23 0.091834 0.148565 0.246486 0.439407 0.841487 1.726213 4.129883
2025-11-30 0.085787 0.142489 0.243759 0.451850 0.909458 1.987692 5.207834
2025-12-07 0.077960 0.132221 0.231807 0.443501 0.929939 2.143411 6.073387
2025-12-14 0.072532 0.125630 0.225809 0.446295 0.976567 2.381530 7.349217
2025-12-21 0.067471 0.119116 0.219036 0.446107 1.015953 2.614650 8.772478
2025-12-28 0.064219 0.115795 0.218416 0.460179 1.097043 3.006426 11.152528
2026-01-04 0.060831 0.111840 0.215994 0.469775 1.169756 3.407471 13.978425
2026-01-11 0.057645 0.107925 0.213120 0.477764 1.240712 3.838004 17.438254
2026-01-18 0.055275 0.105416 0.212962 0.492590 1.336888 4.410295 22.435042
2026-01-25 0.052369 0.101462 0.209034 0.496840 1.401845 4.899742 27.679715
2026-02-01 0.049463 0.097212 0.203889 0.496892 1.453618 5.366696 33.586862
2026-02-08 0.046557 0.092680 0.197543 0.492495 1.489423 5.787504 39.969590
2026-02-15 0.043678 0.087945 0.190169 0.483910 1.508336 6.144475 46.593659
2026-02-22 0.042267 0.086388 0.190394 0.497870 1.616320 7.024938 60.810930
2026-03-01 0.039773 0.082118 0.183347 0.488501 1.631348 7.422025 70.760781
2026-03-08 0.038083 0.079578 0.180438 0.491637 1.698828 8.175218 88.069223